If
is an elliptic
curve defined over
and
is a prime of
good reduction for
,
let
denote the set of points on the reduced curve modulo
. Define an
arithmetic function
by setting
.
Recently, David and the third author studied the average of
over certain “boxes”
of elliptic curves
.
Assuming a plausible conjecture about primes in short intervals, they showed the following: for each
, the average of
over a box with sufficiently
large sides is
for an
explicitly given function
.
The function
is somewhat peculiar: defined as a product over the primes dividing
, it
resembles a multiplicative function at first glance. But further inspection
reveals that it is not, and so one cannot directly investigate its properties
by the usual tools of multiplicative number theory. In this paper, we
overcome these difficulties and prove a number of statistical results about
. For example, we determine
the mean value of
over all
, odd
and prime
, and we
show that
has a distribution function. We also explain how our results relate to
existing theorems and conjectures on the multiplicative properties of
, such
as Koblitz’s conjecture.
Keywords
elliptic curves, Koblitz conjecture, mean values of
arithmetic functions