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Moments of one-level densities in families of holomorphic cusp forms in the level aspect

Peter Cohen, Justine Dell, Oscar E. González, Simran Khunger, Chung-Hang Kwan, Steven J. Miller, Alexander Shashkov, Alicia Reina Smith, Carsten Sprunger, Nicholas Triantafillou, Nhi Truong, Roger Van Peski and Stephen Willis

Vol. 20 (2026), No. 2, 237–298
Abstract

We study the n-th centered moments of the 1-level density for the low-lying zeros of L-functions attached to holomorphic cuspidal newforms of large prime level and fixed weight. Assuming the generalized Riemann hypotheses, we compute this statistic for any n 1 and for all test functions whose Fourier transforms are supported in ( 2 n, 2 n). This is believed to be the natural limit of the current technology. Our work significantly extends beyond the trivial range ( 1 n, 1 n) and surpasses the previous record of ( 1 n1, 1 n1) whenever n > 2. The Katz–Sarnak philosophy predicts that the aforementioned statistic can be modeled by the corresponding statistic for the eigenvalues of random orthogonal matrices. We prove that this is the case for test functions with Fourier support contained in ( 2 n, 2 n). The main technical innovation is a tractable vantage to evaluate the combinatorial zoo of terms, similar to the work of Conrey, Snaith and Mason. As an application, our work provides better bounds on the order of vanishing at the central point for the L-functions in our family.

Keywords
low-lying zeros, optimal test function, $n$-level density, Katz–Sarnak conjecture
Mathematical Subject Classification
Primary: 11M26
Secondary: 11M41, 15A42
Milestones
Received: 21 October 2022
Revised: 19 July 2024
Accepted: 3 March 2025
Published: 16 February 2026
Authors
Peter Cohen
Department of Mathematics
Massachusetts Institute of Technology
Cambridge, MA 02139
United States
Justine Dell
Department of Mathematics
UCSD
9500 Gillman Drive
San Diego, CA 92093
United States
Oscar E. González
Department of Mathematics
University of Puerto Rico
Box 70377
San Juan 00931
Puerto Rico
Simran Khunger
Department of Mathematics
University of Michigan
530 Church St
Ann Arbor, MI 48109
United States
Chung-Hang Kwan
Institute for Advanced Study
Princeton, NJ
United States
Steven J. Miller
Department of Mathematics and Statistics
Williams College
18 Hoxsey St
Williamstown, MA 01267
United States
Alexander Shashkov
Department of Mathematics
University of California, Berkeley
Berkeley, CA
United States
Alicia Reina Smith
Department of Mathematics
Williams College
Williamstown, MA
United States
Carsten Sprunger
Department of Mathematics
University of Michigan
Ann Arbor, MI
United States
Nicholas Triantafillou
IDA Center for Communications Research
Princeton, NJ
United States
Nhi Truong
Roger Van Peski
Department of Mathematics
Columbia University
New York, NY
United States
Stephen Willis
Department of Mathematics
Williams College
Williamstown, MA
United States

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