Vol. 5, No. 3, 2012

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Studying the impacts of changing climate on the Finger Lakes wine industry

Brian McGauvran and Thomas J. Pfaff

Vol. 5 (2012), No. 3, 303–311
Abstract

We report the results of a project with Six Mile Creek Winery in Ithaca, NY, in which we investigate possible climate impacts on the area wine industry. Specifically, we examine winter minimum temperatures in Ithaca since temperatures below 15F damage buds of French-American hybrid grapes and temperatures below 5F affect Vinifera grape varieties. We used the generalized extreme value distribution to model the winter minimum and adjusted this model based on climate simulation data.

Keywords
generalized extreme value distribution, winter minimum temperatures, climate change
Mathematical Subject Classification 2010
Primary: 62G05, 62G32
Milestones
Received: 23 June 2011
Revised: 21 November 2011
Accepted: 23 November 2011
Published: 14 April 2013

Communicated by Robert B. Lund
Authors
Brian McGauvran
27 Sandy Hill Rd
Commack, NY 11725
United States
Thomas J. Pfaff
Mathematics Department
Ithaca College
Ithaca, NY 14850
United States