Studying the impacts of changing climate on the Finger Lakes wine industry

McGauvran, Brian; Pfaff, Thomas

doi:10.2140/involve.2012.5.303

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Studying the impacts of changing climate on the Finger Lakes wine industry

Brian McGauvran and Thomas J. Pfaff

Vol. 5 (2012), No. 3, 303–311

DOI: 10.2140/involve.2012.5.303

Abstract

We report the results of a project with Six Mile Creek Winery in Ithaca, NY, in which we investigate possible climate impacts on the area wine industry. Specifically, we examine winter minimum temperatures in Ithaca since temperatures below $- 1 5^{\circ}$ F damage buds of French-American hybrid grapes and temperatures below $- 5^{\circ}$ F affect Vinifera grape varieties. We used the generalized extreme value distribution to model the winter minimum and adjusted this model based on climate simulation data.

Keywords

generalized extreme value distribution, winter minimum temperatures, climate change

Mathematical Subject Classification 2010

Primary: 62G05, 62G32

Milestones

Received: 23 June 2011

Revised: 21 November 2011

Accepted: 23 November 2011

Published: 14 April 2013

Communicated by Robert B. Lund

Authors

Brian McGauvran
27 Sandy Hill Rd Commack, NY 11725 United States

Thomas J. Pfaff
Mathematics Department Ithaca College Ithaca, NY 14850 United States

Vol. 5, No. 3, 2012