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An issue of guaranteed representation in a variant of Hamilton's method

Graham Chambers-Wall and David McCune

Vol. 17 (2024), No. 3, 373–396
Abstract

The Arkansas Republican party invented an apportionment method for their 2016 presidential primary that is a variant of the classical apportionment method Hamilton’s method. We provide a formula for the probability that these two methods produce the same apportionment in three-candidate elections, assuming all election outcomes are equally likely. We also prove that the method invented by Arkansas Republicans is more favorable to lower-ranked candidates than Hamilton’s method.

Keywords
apportionment, Hamilton's method, presidential primaries
Mathematical Subject Classification
Primary: 91B10
Secondary: 91B14
Milestones
Received: 18 June 2021
Revised: 2 April 2022
Accepted: 27 February 2023
Published: 17 July 2024

Communicated by Kenneth S. Berenhaut
Authors
Graham Chambers-Wall
William Jewell College
Liberty, MO
United States
David McCune
Department of Mathematics and Data Science
William Jewell College
Liberty, MO
United States