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Application of adaptive $c$-optimal design for benchmark dose estimation

Marleen Barron and Steven Kim

Vol. 18 (2025), No. 2, 351–361
Abstract

In dose-response studies, researchers use regression to describe a dose-response relationship and estimate a benchmark dose. Depending on an experimental design with living animals, we can gain more information about the benchmark dose with a fixed number of animals or the same amount of information with fewer animals. It is not only a mathematical and statistical problem but also an ethical problem. We demonstrate the potential benefit of an adaptive design which starts with a portion of animals to update information then uses remaining animals to maximize information about the benchmark dose. Simulation studies show that even a 4-phase locally optimal design is not robust, but a 2-phase Bayesian optimal design (BOD) is more robust than a 1-phase BOD, and a 4-phase BOD is not necessarily better than a 2-phase BOD. Since more phases require a longer experimental time, a practical recommendation is to use a 2-phase BOD.

Keywords
locally optimal design, Bayesian optimal design, $c$-optimal design, adaptive design, benchmark dose, logistic regression
Mathematical Subject Classification
Primary: 62K05
Milestones
Received: 14 August 2023
Revised: 13 November 2023
Accepted: 13 November 2023
Published: 26 February 2025

Communicated by Sat N. Gupta
Authors
Marleen Barron
Department of Mathematics and Statistics
California State University, Monterey Bay
Seaside, CA
United States
Steven Kim
Department of Mathematics and Statistics
California State University, Monterey Bay
Seaside, CA
United States